Assessing trade-offs in U.S. military intervention decisions whether, when, and with what size force to intervene / Bryan Frederick, Jennifer Kavanagh, Stephanie Pezard, Alexandra Stark, Nathan Chandler, James Hoobler, Jooeun Kim.

Author/creator Frederick, Bryan
Format Electronic
Publication InfoSanta Monica, Calif. : RAND Corporation, [2021]
Descriptionxxix, 185 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm.
Supplemental ContentFull text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete
Subjects
Intervention (International law)
Intervention (International law)--Case studies.
National security--United States.
United States--Military policy.

Other author/creatorKavanagh, Jennifer.
Other author/creatorPezard, Stephanie.
Other author/creatorStark, Alexandra.
Other author/creatorChandler, Nathan.
Other author/creatorHoobler, James.
Other author/creatorKim, Jooeun.
Other author/creatorArroyo Center.
Other author/creatorRand Corporation.
Other author/creatorUnited States. Army.
Variant title Assessing trade-offs in US military intervention decisions
Variant title Assessing trade-offs in United States military intervention decisions
Portion of title Whether, when, and with what size force to intervene
SeriesResearch reports ; RR-4293-A
Research report (Rand Corporation) ; RR-4293-A. ^A1368548
Contents Introduction -- What do we know? Reviewing existing literature -- Quantitative analysis: studying trends and patterns -- Lessons from focused case studies -- Counterfactuals -- Conclusion and implications -- Appendix A: list of cases of potential U.S. intervention -- Appendix B: Counterfactual case studies.
Abstract "When faced with the outbreak of a war or the onset of an international crisis that affects important U.S. interests, U.S. policymakers must consider how best to respond. One option they may consider is to directly intervene militarily in the war or crisis. In this report, the authors create a framework that can be used to rigorously consider the trade-offs between intervening militarily early in a war or crisis, intervening later, and not intervening at all, as well as the trade-offs involved in decisions regarding the size of the potential intervention force to be employed. This framework can provide a better understanding of the relationships between intervention timing, intervention size, and intervention outcomes to inform future debates about whether and when to undertake a military intervention. The authors approached these issues in four ways. They conducted (1) an extensive review of academic and policy literature on relevant topics, (2) a quantitative analysis using a database of 286 crises and wars since 1945 in which important U.S. interests were at stake, (3) a set of 45 short, focused case studies, including both interventions and noninterventions, and (4) a set of four in-depth counterfactual illustrations, in which U.S. intervention decisions were altered from historical events to explore the implications. The findings from these four research approaches lead to recommendations regarding the contextual factors that are most essential for policymakers to consider when making intervention decisions."--Publisher's description.
General note"Prepared for the United States Army."--Title page.
General note"RAND Arroyo Center."--Title page.
Bibliography noteIncludes bibliographical references (pages 169-185).
Access restrictionAvailable only to authorized users.
Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Terms of use"Approved for public release; distribution unlimited."--Title page.
Source of descriptionDescription based on print resource.
Genre/formElectronic books.
LCCN 2021427302
ISBN1977405061
ISBN9781977405067
Standard identifier# 10.7249/RR4293
Technical rpt numberRAND/RR-4293-A

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