Minding the weather : how expert forecasters think / Robert R. Hoffman, J. Gregory Trafton, Paul J. Roebber, H. Michael Mogil, and Daphne S. LaDue.
| Author/creator | Hoffman, Robert R. author. |
| Format | Electronic |
| Publication | Cambridge, MA : The MIT Press, [2017] |
| Copyright Date | ©2017 |
| Description | 1 online resource. |
| Supplemental Content | ProQuest Ebook Central |
| Subjects |
| Other author/creator | Trafton, John Gregory, 1966- author. https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjFcwRPpTcw3P7jt39qYj3 |
| Other author/creator | Roebber, Paul J. (Paul Joseph), author. https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJhXcWMdrX6THrgxCMPxXd |
| Other author/creator | Mogil, H. Michael, author. https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjGRTcK6J63mgXvp3tQykC |
| Other author/creator | LaDue, Daphne S. (Daphne Sue), 1967- author. https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjHXDrDJyrgxhMcxjpGHyd |
| Series | The MIT Press Ser MIT Press Ser. UNAUTHORIZED |
| Contents | Introduction -- What is the forecasting workplace like? -- How do people get to be forecasters? -- How do forecasters describe their reasoning? -- How well do forecasters perform? -- What characterizes expertise? -- How do forecasters get to be expert forecasters? -- What does research on forecaster knowledge tell us? -- What does research n forecaster perception tell us? -- What does research on forecaster reasoning tell us? -- Can a machine imitate the human? -- Can a machine replace the human? -- Forecaster-computer interdependence -- Prospects. |
| Abstract | "This book presents an integration of recent research that reveals the knowledge and reasoning of expert weather forecasters, explaining how they understand and predict the weather. The book also discusses different styles and approaches to forecasting. It summarizes what weather forecasters themselves have said about their reasoning, the literature of what makes for sound training of forecasters, studies of forecast accuracy, attempts to generate computer systems to forecast weather, and the technologies used in forecasting (including displays and visualizations) in such systems as radar and satellite. It presents a case study in which forecasters at a facility were probed for their reasoning and a proficiency scale was developed. In addition, the book summarizes and integrates the newest cutting-edge research in applied cognitive science, human factors engineering, cognitive systems engineering, and human-computer interaction that has investigated aspects of the psychology of weather forecasting, including knowledge and mental models, perceptual and display interpretation skills, and reasoning heuristics and strategies"--Provided by publisher |
| Bibliography note | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| Source of description | Print version record. |
| Issued in other form | Print version: Hoffman, Robert R. Minding the weather 9780262036061 |
| LCCN | 2016043623 |
| ISBN | 9780262339407 (electronic bk.) |
| ISBN | 0262339404 (electronic bk.) |
| ISBN | 0262339412 |
| ISBN | 9780262339414 |
| Standard identifier# | (WaSeSS)ssj0001831121 |
| Stock number | 22573/ctt1t7m2tq JSTOR |
| Stock number | 7716 MIT Press |
| Stock number | 9780262339407 MIT Press |
Availability
| Library | Location | Call Number | Status | Item Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electronic Resources | Access Content Online | ✔ Available |