Tools

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001 on1428461734;

003 OCoLC;

005 20250120152100.0;

008 240502t20242024nyua e b 001 0 eng d;

010 a| 2024401133;

019 a| 1378358116;

020 a| 9780316438100q| (hardcover);

020 a| 0316438103q| (hardcover);

035 a| (Sirsi) 40032469642;

035 a| 40032469642;

035 a| (OCoLC)1428461734z| (OCoLC)1378358116;

042 a| lccopycat;

050 00 a| BF441b| .P475 2024;

082 04 a| 153.422| 23;

100 1 a| Perlmutter, Saul,e| author.=| ^A1475028;

245 10 a| Third millennium thinking :b| creating sense in a world of nonsense /c| Saul Perlmutter, John Campbell, Robert MacCoun.;

250 a| First edition.;

264 1 a| New York :b| Little, Brown Spark,c| 2024.;

300 a| viii, 305 pages :b| illustrations ;c| 25 cm;

336 a| textb| txt2| rdacontent;

337 a| unmediatedb| n2| rdamedia;

338 a| volumeb| nc2| rdacarrier;

340 p| Illustrations.0| http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/millus/ill;

385 a| Adult0| http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/maudience/adu;

504 a| Includes bibliographical references (pages 285-298) and index.;

520 a| A Nobel prize-winning physicist, a social psychologist and a philosopher on how science can help us navigate information overload, thrive amidst uncertainty and heal our fractured society.;

520 a| "In Third Millennium Thinking, a physicist, a psychologist, and a philosopher introduce readers to the tools and frameworks that scientists have developed to keep from fooling themselves, to understand the world, and to make decisions. We can all borrow these trust-building techniques to tackle problems both big and small. Readers will learn how to achieve a ground-level understanding of the facts of the modern world, how to chart a course through a profusion of possibilities, how to work together to take on the challenges we face today, and much more. Using provocative thought exercises, jargon-free language, and vivid illustrations drawn from history, daily life, and scientists’ insider stories, Third Millennium Thinking offers a novel approach for readers to make sense of the nonsense." --c| Publisher's description.;

650 0 a| Cognitive psychology.=| ^A239651;

650 0 a| Thought and thinking.=| ^A964462;

650 0 a| Social psychology.=| ^A7266;

650 0 a| Decision making.=| ^A1353;

650 6 a| Psychologie cognitive.;

650 6 a| Pensée.;

650 6 a| Psychologie sociale.;

650 6 a| Prise de décision.;

650 7 a| thinking.2| aat;

650 7 a| social psychology.2| aat;

650 7 a| decision making.2| aat;

700 1 a| Campbell, John,d| 1956-e| author.=| ^A342348;

700 1 a| MacCoun, Robert J.e| author.=| ^A492190;

758 1| http://id.loc.gov/resources/instances/23671619;

949 i| 30372017721207o| jjlm;

960 o| 1s| 30.00t| Joyner48u| JAPPz| USD;

596 a| 1;

998 a| 6509621;

999 a| BF441 .P475 2024w| LCc| 1i| 30372017721207d| 5/22/2025e| 4/20/2025l| JGESm| JOYNERr| Ys| Yt| JGESBKu| 12/19/2024x| BOOKz| JSTACKSo| .CIRCNOTE. Book temporarily located on Pull Hold shelf in Circulation, could not fit on shelf due to no space, MS 4/20/25o| .STAFF. jjlm;

Third millennium thinking : creating sense in a world of nonsense / Saul Perlmutter, John Campbell, Robert MacCoun.

Author/creator	Perlmutter, Saul author.
Other author	Campbell, John, 1956- author.
Other author	MacCoun, Robert J. author.
Format	Book
Edition	First edition.
Publication	New York : Little, Brown Spark, 2024.
Copyright Date	©2024
Description	viii, 305 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm
Subjects	Cognitive psychology. Thought and thinking. Social psychology. Decision making. Psychologie cognitive. Pensée. Psychologie sociale. Prise de décision.

Physical medium	Illustrations.
Contents	Introduction -- Part I: Getting a grip on reality. Decisions, decisions, decisions -- Instruments and reality -- Making things happen -- Part II: Understanding uncertainty. A radical shift to probablistic thinking -- Overconfidence and humility -- Finding signal in noise -- Seeing things that aren't there -- Pick your poison : two kinds of error -- Statistical and systematic uncertainty -- Part III: The radical can-do stance. Scientific optimism -- Orders of understanding and Fermi problems -- Part IV: Minding the gaps. Why it's hard to learn from experience -- Science gone wrong -- Confirmation bias and blind analysis -- Part V: Joining forces. The wisdom and madness of crowds -- Weaving facts and values -- The deliberation challege -- Rebooting trust for a new millennium.
Abstract	A Nobel prize-winning physicist, a social psychologist and a philosopher on how science can help us navigate information overload, thrive amidst uncertainty and heal our fractured society.
Abstract	"In Third Millennium Thinking, a physicist, a psychologist, and a philosopher introduce readers to the tools and frameworks that scientists have developed to keep from fooling themselves, to understand the world, and to make decisions. We can all borrow these trust-building techniques to tackle problems both big and small. Readers will learn how to achieve a ground-level understanding of the facts of the modern world, how to chart a course through a profusion of possibilities, how to work together to take on the challenges we face today, and much more. Using provocative thought exercises, jargon-free language, and vivid illustrations drawn from history, daily life, and scientists’ insider stories, Third Millennium Thinking offers a novel approach for readers to make sense of the nonsense." -- Publisher's description.
Bibliography note	Includes bibliographical references (pages 285-298) and index.
LCCN	2024401133
ISBN	9780316438100 (hardcover)
ISBN	0316438103 (hardcover)

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Joyner	General Stacks	BF441 .P475 2024	✔ Available	Place Hold

Third millennium thinking : creating sense in a world of nonsense / Saul Perlmutter, John Campbell, Robert MacCoun.

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