Minding the weather how expert forecasters think / Robert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. LaDue, H. Michael Mogil, Paul J. Roebber, and J. Gregory Trafton.

Author/creator Hoffman, Robert R.
Format Electronic
Publication InfoCambridge, Massachusetts : The MIT Press, [2017]
Descriptionxiv, 470 pages : illustrations (some color) ; 24 cm
Supplemental ContentFull text available from MIT Press Direct to Open Backfile STEAM Monographs D2O
Subjects
Weather forecasting.

Other author/creatorTrafton, John Gregory, 1966-
Other author/creatorRoebber, Paul J. (Paul Joseph)
Other author/creatorMogil, H. Michael.
Other author/creatorLaDue, Daphne S. (Daphne Sue), 1967-
Contents Introduction -- What is the forecasting workplace like? -- How do people get to be forecasters? -- How do forecasters describe their reasoning? -- How well do forecasters perform? -- What characterizes expertise? -- How do forecasters get to be expert forecasters? -- What does research on forecaster knowledge tell us? -- What does research n forecaster perception tell us? -- What does research on forecaster reasoning tell us? -- Can a machine imitate the human? -- Can a machine replace the human? -- Forecaster-computer interdependence -- Prospects.
Abstract "This book presents an integration of recent research that reveals the knowledge and reasoning of expert weather forecasters, explaining how they understand and predict the weather. The book also discusses different styles and approaches to forecasting. It summarizes what weather forecasters themselves have said about their reasoning, the literature of what makes for sound training of forecasters, studies of forecast accuracy, attempts to generate computer systems to forecast weather, and the technologies used in forecasting (including displays and visualizations) in such systems as radar and satellite. It presents a case study in which forecasters at a facility were probed for their reasoning and a proficiency scale was developed. In addition, the book summarizes and integrates the newest cutting-edge research in applied cognitive science, human factors engineering, cognitive systems engineering, and human-computer interaction that has investigated aspects of the psychology of weather forecasting, including knowledge and mental models, perceptual and display interpretation skills, and reasoning heuristics and strategies"-- Provided by publisher.
Bibliography noteIncludes bibliographical references (pages 399-462) and index.
Access restrictionAvailable only to authorized users.
Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/formElectronic books.
LCCN 2016043623
ISBN9780262036061 (hardcover : alk. paper)
ISBN0262036061 (hardcover : alk. paper)

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