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100 1 a| Mocan, H. Naci.?| UNAUTHORIZED;

245 10 a| Asymmetric crime cyclesh| [electronic resource] /c| H. Naci Mocan, Turan G. Bali.;

260 a| Cambridge, MA :b| National Bureau of Economic Research,;

490 1 a| NBER working paper series ;v| working paper 11210;

500 a| Title from PDF file as viewed on 3/30/2005.;

504 a| Includes bibliographical references.;

506 a| Available only to authorized users.;

520 3 a| "Recent theoretical models based on dynamic human capital formation, or social influence, suggest an inverse relationship between criminal activity and economic opportunity and between criminal activity and deterrence, but predict an asymmetric response of crime. In this paper we use three different data sets and three different empirical methodologies to document this previously-unnoticed regularity. Using nonparametric methods we show that the behavior of property crime is asymmetric over time, where increases are sharper but decreases are gradual. Using aggregate time-series U.S. data as well as data from New York City we demonstrate that property crime reacts more (less) strongly to increases (decreases) in the unemployment rate, to decreases (increases) in per capita real GDP and to decreases (increases) in the police force. The same result is obtained between unemployment and property crime in annual state-level panel data. These results suggest that it may be cost effective to implement mechanisms to prevent crime commission rates from rising in the first place"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.;

530 a| Also available in print.;

538 a| Mode of access: World Wide Web;

650 0 a| Crimex| Economic aspectsx| Mathematical models.=| ^A221848;

650 0 a| Crimex| Economic aspectsz| United States.=| ^A991125;

650 0 a| Criminal justice, Administration ofx| Mathematical models.=| ^A135;

655 0 a| Electronic books.=| ^A491897;

700 1 a| Bali, Turan G.=| ^A1248760;

710 2 a| National Bureau of Economic Research.=| ^A186;

830 0 a| Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ;v| working paper no. 11210.?| UNAUTHORIZED;

856 40 z| Full text available from NBER Working Papersu| https://go.openathens.net/redirector/ecu.edu?url=https%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.3386%2Fw11210;

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Asymmetric crime cycles / H. Naci Mocan, Turan G. Bali.

Author/creator	Mocan, H. Naci
Other author	Bali, Turan G.
Other author	National Bureau of Economic Research.
Format	Electronic
Publication Info	Cambridge, MA : National Bureau of Economic Research,
Supplemental Content	Full text available from NBER Working Papers
Subjects	Crime--Economic aspects. --Mathematical models. Crime--Economic aspects. --New York (State). --New York. Crime--Economic aspects. --United States. Criminal justice, Administration of--Mathematical models.

Series	NBER working paper series ; working paper 11210 Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ; working paper no. 11210. UNAUTHORIZED
Summary	"Recent theoretical models based on dynamic human capital formation, or social influence, suggest an inverse relationship between criminal activity and economic opportunity and between criminal activity and deterrence, but predict an asymmetric response of crime. In this paper we use three different data sets and three different empirical methodologies to document this previously-unnoticed regularity. Using nonparametric methods we show that the behavior of property crime is asymmetric over time, where increases are sharper but decreases are gradual. Using aggregate time-series U.S. data as well as data from New York City we demonstrate that property crime reacts more (less) strongly to increases (decreases) in the unemployment rate, to decreases (increases) in per capita real GDP and to decreases (increases) in the police force. The same result is obtained between unemployment and property crime in annual state-level panel data. These results suggest that it may be cost effective to implement mechanisms to prevent crime commission rates from rising in the first place"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
General note	Title from PDF file as viewed on 3/30/2005.
Bibliography note	Includes bibliographical references.
Access restriction	Available only to authorized users.
Other forms	Also available in print.
Technical details	Mode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/form	Electronic books.
LCCN	2005617157

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Asymmetric crime cycles / H. Naci Mocan, Turan G. Bali.

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