Public Debt Dynamics The Effects of Austerity, Inflation, and Growth Shocks

Author/creator Hasanov, Fuad Author
Other author Cherif, Reda Author
Format Electronic
Publication InfoWashington : International Monetary Fund
Description28 p.
Supplemental ContentFull text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete

Summary Annotation We study how macroeconomic shocks affect U.S. public debt dynamics using a VAR with debt feedback. Following a fiscal austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically significant. In a weak economic environment, the likelihood of a self-defeating austerity shock is much higher than in normal times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. a positive growth shock unambiguously lowers debt. In our specification, the debt ratio is stationary, whereas a VAR excluding debt may imply an explosive debt path.
Access restrictionAvailable only to authorized users.
Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/formElectronic books.
ISBN9781475541274
ISBN1475541279 (E-Book) Active Record
Stock number00013468

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