Setting the Operational Framework for Producing Inflation Forecasts

Author/creator Kisinbay, Turgut Author
Other author Parrado, Eric Author
Other author Maino, Rodolfo Author
Format Electronic
Publication InfoWashington : International Monetary Fund
Description82 p.
Supplemental ContentFull text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete

Summary Annotation How should a central bank organize itself to produce the best possible inflation forecast? This paper discusses elements for building a comprehensive platform for an inflation forecasting framework. It describes the exercise of forecasting inflation as a production process, which induces a strict discipline concerning data management, information gathering, the use of a suitable statistical apparatus, and the exercise of sound communication strategies to reinforce reputation and credibility. It becomes critical how a central bank organizes itself to produce relevant macroeconomic forecasts, with special consideration to product design, the essential requirements needed in the forecasting process, and key related organizational issues. In addition, the paper proposes to factor into the process the authorities' policy responses to previous inflation forecasts in order to be consistent with the spirit of the inflation targeting framework.
Access restrictionAvailable only to authorized users.
Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/formElectronic books.
ISBN9781451985238
ISBN1451985231 (E-Book) Active Record
Stock number00013468

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