The Global Impact of Demographic Change

Author/creator Callen, Tim Author
Other author Mckibbin, Warwick J. Author
Other author Batini, Nicoletta Author
Format Electronic
Publication InfoWashington : International Monetary Fund
Description21 p.
Supplemental ContentFull text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete

Summary Annotation The world is in the midst of a major demographic transition. This paper examines the implications of such transition over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world using a dynamic intertemporal general equilibrium four-country model containing demographics calibrated to the medium variant of the United Nations population projections. We find that population aging in industrial countries will reduce aggregate growth in these regions over time, but should boost growth in developing countries over the next 20-30 years, as the relative size of their workingage populations increases. Demographic change will also affect saving, investment, and capital flows, implying changes in global trade balances and asset prices. We also explore the sensitivity of the results to assumptions about future productivity growth and country external risk for the developing country region.
Access restrictionAvailable only to authorized users.
Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/formElectronic books.
ISBN9781451908053
ISBN1451908059 (E-Book) Active Record
Stock number00013468

Availability

Library Location Call Number Status Item Actions
Electronic Resources Access Content Online ✔ Available