The United States as a debtor nation / William R. Cline.

Author/creator Cline, William R.
Other author Center for Global Development.
Other author Institute for International Economics (U.S.)
Format Book
Publication InfoWashington, DC : Institute for International Economics : Center for Global Development, 2005.
Descriptionxix, 304 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm
Supplemental ContentTable of contents
Subjects

Contents 1. The international debt cycle and the United States as an external debtor -- The debt cycle -- Measuring the net international investment position -- The debt cycle in practice -- The global balance sheet discrepancy -- Debt cycle status and growth performance -- Appendix 1A. Estimating the net international investment position -- 2. Valuation effects, asymmetric returns, and economic net foreign assets -- US valuation effects -- US asymmetric capital returns -- Capital services and economic versus accounting net foreign assets -- Alternative measures : cash flow versus debt burden -- 3. Projecting the US current account deficit and net foreign assets -- A simple projection model -- Calibration and data -- Identifying the exchange rate lag -- Backcast performance -- Baseline projections -- Comparison with other projections -- Adjustment scenarios -- Impact parameters -- 4. US fiscal imbalance and the external deficit -- Understanding the linkages -- The decline in personal saving -- Fiscal outlook for 2005-10 -- Long-term fiscal problem -- General equilibrium framework -- Toward fiscal and external adjustment -- Appendix 4A. A simple general equilibrium model relating the trade and fiscal balances -- 5. Sustainability of the US current account deficit and the risk of crisis -- US share in global portfolios -- Debt ratios and critical thresholds -- Hard landing, long-term burden, and protectionist pressures -- The evolving crisis debate -- Appendix 5A. Key features of leading recent analyses -- 6. Impact of the US external imbalance on the rest of the world -- Impact on global demand -- Impact on interest rates -- Emerging-market capital supply and current account performance -- Developing-country reserves : burden or bonanza? -- East Asian exchange rate rigidity -- Achieving global adjustment -- Appendix 6A. Optimal exchange rate realignment -- Appendix 6B. Recent alternative profiles proposed for global adjustment -- 7. Principal findings and policy implications -- The international debt cycle -- Valuation effects, asymmetric returns, and economic net foreign assets -- Forecasting the US current account deficit and net foreign assets -- The role of fiscal adjustment -- Sustainability and risks of the current account deficit -- Global impact of US external imbalance -- Policy implication.
Local noteLittle-348946--305131055312T
Bibliography noteIncludes bibliographical references (p. 283-290) and index.
LCCN 2005018957
ISBN0881323993 (pbk.)
ISBN9780881323993 (pbk.)

Availability

Library Location Call Number Status Item Actions
Joyner General Stacks HJ8119 .C55 2005 ✔ Available Place Hold